Canadian Open betting preview
By Dave Tindall Last updated: 22nd July 2010
Paul Casey can put his Open disappointment behind him by winning this week's RBC Canadian Open, says Dave Tindall.

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The last time St. George's Golf & Country Club hosted the Canadian Open a left-hander - the great Bob Charles - walked away with the trophy.
A good omen for Mike Weir it would seem.
However, Weir's form ahead of his latest attempt to win his home Open, is less than inspiring. In fact, make that totally miserable.
Look away now Canadian fans because to find the last Weir top 25 in a strokeplay event you have to go back to January and a sixth place in his seasonal debut in the Bob Hope.
Four missed cuts in his last six starts shows there is little sign of him turning the corner and his 187th place in the Greens In Regulation stats highlights that he's way off with his irons.
That is likely to catch him out at St. George's.
Speaking in the Toronto Sun, St. George's head golf professional Colin Thompson said there is a premium on accurate approach play at this venue.
"You have to leave yourself on the right spot on the green or you will be putting defensively the whole time," said Thompson. "The greens are so undulating that you have to be in the right quadrant to have a chance at making the putts."
Another feature of the course is that it has five par threes - and all are between 210 and 225 yards long.
All the above suggests that there are three stats worth taking a closer look at this week:
One player who appears in the top 20% of golfers on Tour in all three categories is Paul Casey but of course we give him a wide berth after his Open heartache. Right?
Wrong?
Getting back on the horse is often the best way to overcome a big disappointment and golfing history is littered with players who have shone the week after a major setback.
The poster boy for mental strength in adversity is Bernhard Langer, who, remarkably, won the week after missing THAT putt in the 1991 Ryder Cup.
But there are other less celebrated examples too, including one from very recent Open history.
At Carnoustie in 2007, young Andres Romero had a golden chance to win the Claret Jug before blowing up on the 17th hole but the very next week he went to Germany and posted his first European Tour win.
In other words, forget the pop psychology about mental let-down. Instead focus on the fact that to get themselves into position for heartbreak these players must have been playing some superb golf in the first place.
And by playing the next week, their golf stays hot and it stops them dwelling on what might have been.
Casey played some brilliant stuff at St Andrews and has the personality to take the positives.
Looking at the stats we've highlighted, he's ninth in Greens In Regulation, 35th in Par 3 Birdie or Better and 27th in Approaches from 200-225 yards.
Other Casey stats show him 3rd on the All-Around ranking which takes into account all the key elements so basically eveything points to another big show.
St. George's is a tree-lined track so Casey's win at Wentworth shows he can thrive in such conditions and we'll go for the jugular by backing him win only at 18/1.
Hunter Mahan also fits into our three chosen categories - the American is 14th in Greens In Regulation, 15th in Par 3 Birdie or Better and 16th in Approaches from 200-225 yards.
He's also got a tidy Canadian Open record with a tied fourth at Glen Abbey in 2004 and a tied fifth at Angus Glen in 2007. Both those events took place in Ontario so he should be looking forward to his return to this particular Canadian Province.
After an excellent win in Phoenix at the start of the year, Mahan has gone off the boil somewhat but did manage an eighth at Augusta and most recently shot three good rounds out of four (69-71-71) at St Andrews last week.
Mahan has an extra incentive to put in a big performance as he's currently outside the top 10 of the US Ryder Cup standings.
After his superb performance at Valhalla, Mahan (currently in 11th) will want to taste the high octane atmosphere of another Ryder Cup and he'll want to qualify for the team automatically this time having been a wildcard in 2008.
He's 40/1 for glory this week and that looks a good each-way price.
This stats system also throws up an 80/1 shot.
Jason Bohn is already a winner this year having landed the Zurich Classic of New Orleans in April and although he was blown off course and missed the cut at St Andrews he had shown he was in good nick in his two previous starts by finishing in a tie for 21st at both the John Deere Classic and the Travelers Championship.
Bohn also has some good history in Canada.
Early in his career he played on the Canadian Tour and won the 2000 Shell Payless Open and the 2001 Bayer Championship.
And he also returned there in his Nationwide Tour days and finished runner-up in the Samsung Canadian PGA Championship.
Bohn is 19th in Greens In Regulation, 34th in Par 3 Birdie or Better and 8th in Approaches from 200-225 yards so he's got good numbers in the statistical categories which should count and the 80/1 at Ladbrokes is worth taking.
My final pick might just be inspired a little by Louis Oosthuizen's Open victory.
Brendon de Jonge may be Zimbabwean but, as we saw when Africa united behind Ghana in the World Cup, he will have been delighted to see a player from his own continent win at St Andrews.
And, on his current form, de Jonge could rack up another win for Africa.
The 30-year-old (he hit that landmark on the Saturday of The Open) finished seventh at the John Deere Classic on his last start and, two tournaments before that, was tied ninth in the Travelers Championship.
He also showed up strongly in the US Open while in May he was fourth in a quality field at Quail Hollow.
Having won at Nationwide Tour level (the 2008 Xerox Classic), de Jonge now looks ready to win on the PGA Tour and this could be a good chance for him.
He only qualifies in two of the statistical categories we've been using but on the one he doesn't he's still in the top third of players on the par 3 stats and his 11th place on the All-Around ranking proves he's strong in all areas.
After five top 10 finishes this year, let's hope he can turn one of those into a victory.
Tips:
4pts win Paul Casey at 18/1 (bet365). Played superbly at St Andrews and wouldn't be first to win off the back of a major disappointment.
1pt e.w. Hunter Mahan at 40/1 (Sportingbet, Stan James 1/4 1,2,3,4,5). Has the right stats to go well, good record in Canada and wants Ryder Cup spot.
1pt e.w. Jason Bohn at 80/1 (Ladbrokes 1/4 1,2,3,4,5). Won twice on Canadian Tour earlier in career and seems to have right stats.
1pt e.w. Brendon de Jonge at 60/1 (Blue Square, Stan James 1/4 1,2,3,4,5). In great form, 11th on All-Around stats and can claim another win for Africa.
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